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- Higher interest rates will cause rents to rise
Higher interest rates will cause rents to rise
- By Pamela Yardney
- Published 28/02/2008
- Property Management
Pamela Yardney
is director of Metropole - Properties and an accomplished property investor and developer. Pam has authored many articles on maximizing property investment returns and is co-author of the top selling book "All You Need to Know About Buying & Selling Your Home" www.metropole.com.au
View all articles by Pamela YardneyListen up landlords!
The latest interest rate increase will not only cause hardship to home owners- but also to tenants. Rents for many properties are likely to increase substantially over the next year.
The latest interest rate increase by the RBA, which is the 11th consecutive increase since 2002 and the fourth increase in just over a year, will put pressure on the already straining rental market in our capital cities.
With home loan rates now above well above 8%, it's going to be harder for many young families to buy their own home.
Think about it… the recent property boom means they will need a larger deposit. But at the same time higher rentals as well as the increased cost of living means it is harder for them to save for their deposit. This is compounded by the fact that higher interest rates will decrease their serviceability for loans – in other words they can't borrow as much.
So if they can't buy, what will they do? They still have to live somewhere, so they will rent.
The problem is we currently have historically low vacancy rates and the law of supply and demand means there is only one way for rents to go – UP!
We already have an acute shortage of housing for both owner occupiers and tenants, and the latest interest rate increase will only make things worse.
With all the news about the world's economic problems and the possible effect on Australia, many developers are wary and holding off committing to new developments. At the same time they are finding that lenders are more cautious about lending for large-scale developments.
This means an ever increasing housing deficiency.
While savvy investors with a long term perspective are taking advantage of the current property markets, many beginning investors are holding back in what they see as uncertain times. This has resulted in fewer new rental properties becoming available for tenants at a time when there is already an acute shortage in many suburbs.
So only one thing can happen – rents will continue to increase.
Another consequence is that tenants will not move house as frequently – it will be too hard for them with so few properties on the market.
The conclusion is inescapable - vacancy rates will fall further creating more competition amongst a bigger pool of tenants.
Our research suggests that rents for many properties, and particularly apartments, in the inner suburbs of Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane will increase by at least 10% over the next year.
While this may be bad news for tenants, it is good news for investors.
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5 Responses to "Higher interest rates will cause rents to rise" 
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said this on 27 Feb 2008 7:04:35 PM EST
This is great news - about time I I can put up the rents to make up for the higher interest payments
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said this on 01 Mar 2008 10:41:18 AM EST
Precise and succinct. A healthy and positive view to why we should keep adding properties to our portfolio.
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said this on 02 Mar 2008 9:04:27 PM EST
Thanks Pamela .This confirms my reading that my retirement income from rents will more than keep up with inflation & give us a good standed of living.
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said this on 03 Mar 2008 5:40:32 PM EST
Sweet music to my ears! Great article Pamela :-)
It's great to hear that tenants have no option but to pay an extra 10% over the coming year. This corresponds with what I have already been thinking, but it's always great to hear confirmation from the experts such as yourself. I for one am going to move sooner rather than later on this issue. I have a couple of leases ending shortly, and am definitely going to be raising the rents by at least 10% (and probably more). And I am going to demand these rent increases regardless of what the reserve bank decides at its next few meetings. As you rightly say Pamela, people have to live somewhere... and house prices just keep going up and up. So in this kind of market tenants will unfortunately (for them!) have no choice but to pay what we ask for. Cheers Tony |
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said this on 03 Mar 2008 10:50:38 PM EST
We get mixed messages from so many experts.Very often, stories have mixed messages in the same article.At the beginning of an article, prices are going up ad by the end of the story, another person's opinion is introduced and prices are heading south.Where are rentals and property prices heading for outer suburbs such as Logan in SE QLD?
We have three investment properties in Logan Central, Kingston, and Slacks Creek. We just received a letter from our property manager that it was harder to find good tenants and that landlords should expect to wait a little longer as many tenants were vacating. We were surprised.Mind you, we just have had a dreadful experience with a crimal tenant who trashed our house whom we took months to remove. Luckily we did it by the book (and small claims) and our MGA Landlords insurance was brilliant. All lost rent paid up and everything nearly fixed. Can't speak more highly for the need for good insurance. |


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