Michael Carman is the Managing Director of property investment information publisher Wealth Enhance. You can subscribe to the free ezine, Wealth Enhancement Bulletin, at www.wealth-enhance.com.au
In the first article in a series originally published in API magazine about retirement strategies, we look at how many investment properties you need before you can consider quitting your day job...
For most people, retirement conjures up images of lazy walks along the beach interspersed with endless rounds of golf. For others, retirement spells the financial independence that moves them from the 'rat race' to the 'fast track', and the choice of whether to work or not.
This article was first published in Australian Property Investor magazine and is copyright and reproduced with their permission.
In the first article in our series about retirement strategies, we look at how many investment properties you need before you can consider quitting your day job.
For most people, retirement conjures up images of lazy walks along the beach interspersed with endless rounds of golf. For others, retirement spells the financial independence that moves them from the ‘rat race’ to the ‘fast track’, and the choice of whether to work or not.
What rounds out the picture for property investors is an empire of houses that throw off large amounts of cash to finance the whole set-up.
Regardless of how financial independence looks and the fact that it’s most investors’ goal, the emphasis in much of the property investing literature is on how to start investing, how to choose a property, how to get financing, whether you should choose fixed interest rates or variable interest rates, cheapest renovations, and so on. Very few deal thoroughly or in-depth with how to achieve financial independence, or the mechanics of retiring on property.
We’ll be looking here at how many properties it takes to retire. In future articles we’ll look at how long it takes, different methods to get there, superannuation and property, pitfalls and traps, plus much more.
Now… down to brass tacks: how do you retire on property?
There are actually several ways to retire on property, but for the moment let’s look at the fundamental model of an investor’s retirement being supported by the rental income generated by a portfolio of properties.
The first step is to calculate what your desired or required annual income is in pre-tax terms, in today’s dollars. If you want to retire on an income equal to your existing salary, then your current gross salary is a good starting point. Divide that figure by the annual rent on a typical property: this will give you the number of investment properties required to support your level of income. Don’t forget to add a little bit to your desired income figure to account for property management expenses, repairs, rates etc. before you divide by the rental figure. Remember also to take vacancy rates into account in your estimate of rental income per property.
For example, say that my required annual pre-tax income in retirement, in today’s dollars, is $80,000. I add a notional amount of $5000 to account for rates and management expenses to arrive at an income level of $85,000 per annum required income. If the annual rent I could reasonably expect from a property is $12,000 then I will require around seven properties (85,000 divided by 12,000 comes to a little more than seven).
So, seven properties is my goal in order to retire – that seems easy enough to understand and calculate. But can you see the fly in the ointment? For the vast majority of investors, accumulating properties means borrowing large sums of money. As most investors know only too well, the loans used to finance property acquisitions bring with them repayment obligations that outweigh the rental income generated by the properties.
When we talk of needing seven properties to retire, in fact what’s required are seven unencumbered properties, that is, seven properties without any loan obligations attached to them.
This is where it gets interesting. If you’ve used borrowing to accumulate your portfolio, you’ll need to pay down that debt. What do you use to pay down those borrowings? The answer is… more properties – because the properties are sold and the proceeds of the sale are used to pay down debt.
But how many more properties? This depends on whether your portfolio consists of high capital growth and low-yield properties, or high-yield but low-growth properties.
Some investors are highly negatively geared and have relatively low-yielding but highly tax-effective portfolios. Others prefer positive cash flow properties. Still others accumulate a mixed portfolio of positively and negatively geared properties with the aim of striking a balance between income and tax-leveraged capital growth.
To answer the question of how many properties in total are needed to retire, we’ll look at two case studies: the Smiths – who are negatively geared investors with a handful of properties, and the Jones who own a lot of cheaper cash flow positive properties.
The Smiths have a handful of median priced properties that are relatively low yielding, but highly tax effective. The properties have been growing in value at the average long-term rate of 8 per cent and the Smiths have used the equity built up in their portfolio as the security for their property acquisitions.
After 10 years of regular investing the Smiths have accumulated five properties. The gross value of their total property assets now is $1.75 million and they have $1 million in property investment loans. Their net worth is $750,000 ($1.75 million asset value minus $1 million in borrowings). Each of their five properties is worth $350,000, and the gross rental income they receive from these five properties totals $60,000 per annum (each property generates gross rent of $12,000 per year). They pay interest on their loans at 8 per cent and their annual interest bill is $80,000. Their before-tax out-of-pocket expenses are therefore $20,000 ($60,000 rent received from their five properties minus $80,000 in interest payments on the loan).
The Smiths have decided that their desired retirement income is $80,000 in today’s dollars.
At an annual rent of $12,000 per property, the Smiths will need seven unencumbered properties to retire. A portfolio of seven unencumbered properties will also generate a few thousand dollars extra for property related expenses. While they have five properties now, their portfolio has $1 million in debt associated with it, so they need to acquire more properties whose capital appreciation over time can be liquidated (i.e. the properties are sold) to pay off the debt so that the seven properties they require to support their retirement can be left free and clear.
After they’ve acquired two more properties to bring their total portfolio to seven properties, how many more properties do they need in order to pay down the debt and leave their portfolio unencumbered? In theory, only one!
After the Smiths have acquired the eighth property, they could rely on their first property to grow in value to the point where the equity in that property overtakes the size of the debt. Of course, that would take some time.
If they bought three more properties at, say $350,000 each and borrowed the total amount, their debt would stand at $2.05 million. If one of their properties appreciated at 8 per cent every year, it would take another 23 years for it to grow large enough to pay out all the debt (leaving aside the issue of capital gains tax)!
Of course, they could shorten this by buying two, or three or more properties to use to pay down the debt. The balancing act here is that the more properties they buy to use to pay down the debt, the greater that debt is, and hence the longer it takes to retire. The Smiths will also need to stop acquiring properties at some point to let their portfolio appreciate in order to generate extra equity and reduce the overall portfolio loan-to-value ratio.
So there are quite a few moving parts here:
· the rate at which the Smiths continue to acquire more properties;
· how long they want to taper off acquiring more properties and let their portfolio appreciate while their borrowing level remains constant; and
· how long they’re prepared to wait until they retire.
Let’s back up to where the Smiths are now, with their $1.8 million, five-property portfolio. They’re determined to save and invest aggressively, so they buy a new property every year for the next six years. While properties now are priced at $350,000 and are typically appreciating at 8 per cent per year on average, the Smiths buy smart and are able to acquire properties at a 10 per cent discount to market value.
Having acquired a property a year for another six years, the Smiths’ portfolio now consists of 11 properties. Their properties continue to appreciate at 8 per cent per annum, and their borrowings – and interest repayments – also grow. Rents have been growing at 4 per cent each year, and at the end of the sixth year their gross rental income is $167,000. However this is far outweighed by a massive interest bill of nearly $280,000. The Smiths stop acquiring and let their portfolio appreciate for the next four years, during which time their rents rise, reducing the negative cash balance since their debt level remains the same.
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After this four-year tapering off – and twenty-one years after they started investing – the Smiths sell down four properties, each worth more than $816,000, taking a cool $3.2 million off their borrowings and leaving seven properties in their portfolio (see Figure 1).
A small debt of $231,000 remains which requires $18,000 per year in interest repayments, but the rental income of $129,000 yielded by the seven remaining properties far outweighs this, leaving a positive cash position of $111,000. This amount is the $80,000 the Smiths need to live off, in future dollars ($80,000 in today’s dollars, inflated at 3 per cent per year to account for the rising cost of living, comes to $110,000 in 11 years’ time).
Let’s see how the Smiths’ high-yielding, positive cash flow counterparts – the Jones – fare.
In contrast to the negatively geared Smiths, the Jones have focused on cheaper properties with high yields that are cash flow positive (or close to it). Their investments are in regional areas with high rental yields (6 per cent) but low capital growth (4 per cent per year). Their rents grow at 4 per cent per year. After ten years of investing, the Jones have accumulated eight properties worth nearly $1.4 million in gross terms, with each property generating $10,000 rent per year. They – like the Smiths – have aimed to buy smart and purchased their investments at a 10 per cent discount to market value. They have total outstanding debt of $1 million on their investments, leaving them with a net worth of roughly $400,000.
The Jones have decided their required annual income in today’s dollars is $80,000, which translates to a requirement for eight unencumbered properties to retire. While their portfolio contains eight properties now, these properties are accompanied by $1 million in borrowings; clearly the Jones will need to keep accumulating.
The Jones add a property per year to their portfolio and since their properties only appreciate in value at 4 per cent per year their debt doesn’t grow at the same rate as the Smiths’. Since the value of their properties grows at the same rate annually as do the rents generated by those properties, their portfolio’s overall rental yield stays at the same level over time.
Six years from now however, the Jones aren’t in a position to taper off their acquisitions and let their portfolio appreciate without adding to debt, which the negatively geared Smiths did. At this point, the Jones have accumulated 14 properties with a total value of $3 million, borrowings of $2 million and a positive cash flow of $14,000 annually. If they tapered off their acquisition activity, in the twenty-first year their properties would each be worth around $262,000 and the six properties they sell off would generate $1.6 million in sale proceeds. Applying this to the $2 million in debt, and using the yearly cash surplus generated by their rental income, would reduce the debt level to around $360,000 – much lower than $2 million, but still generating an annual interest liability of $29,000 which would swallow up the rental income generated by two properties.
The Jones in fact have to keep adding a property a year to their portfolio for three more years, when they have 17 properties worth a total of $4.1 million, $2.6 million in borrowings and yearly rental income of $241,000. This income outweighs their yearly interest bill of $208,000. The Jones have been using the cash surpluses generated by their properties to reduce their debt level. After a tapering off period of one year in which rents and property values rose by 4 per cent, but borrowings reduced slightly because of the cash surplus applied to the debt, the Jones are now in a position to transition to retirement.
At this point they sell off nine properties, each worth $262,000, to pay $2.4 million off their $2.6 million borrowings, leaving a small debt balance of a couple of hundred thousand dollars (as shown in Figure 2). The $17,000 in annual interest payments is comfortably handled by the $123,000 in rental income yielded by the Jones’ eight properties, leaving them with $106,000 at the end of the twenty-first year (which approximates the $80,000 the Jones desire for retirement, in future dollars).
After their conscientious and long haul investing efforts, both the negatively geared Smiths and the positive cash flow Jones are able to retire. While the case studies of their situations are somewhat stylised, the two scenarios nonetheless highlight important aspects of retiring on property and the implications of different property investing strategies. There are two main lessons here.
Firstly, retiring on property takes time and patience, and both in big doses. While the final numbers will change depending on rates of appreciation, rental growth rates, interest rate movements, and any other number of variables, the fundamental point remains that we’re talking here about sustained investing over the long haul to accumulate a portfolio that consists of a double-digit number of properties. This is no get-rich quick story where you can retire after buying two or three properties.
Secondly, both the high capital growth negative-geared approach, and the low capital growth high-yield approach will get you to retirement, but they’ll get you there in different ways.
While both investing households ended up with roughly the same income and only one property difference in terms of the size of their final portfolios, the negatively geared Smiths had a far higher asset value and a far higher net worth than the Jones. But the Jones’ portfolio contained far less debt, and therefore less interest payments. Combined with the higher rental yields, the Jones’ portfolio generated cash surpluses early on which could be applied to the debt (either because it was used to pay off debt, or more likely because it was sitting in a line of credit and reduced the outstanding loan balance). The positive cash balances reduced the debt and interest payments, in turn enhancing the cash balance, and so on in a ‘virtuous circle’.
Of course the ability to find high yielding properties, and the greater susceptibility to economic shocks which regional areas often face are other factors which the Jones have to deal with.
Whatever your chosen strategy though, it’s good to know that with some time, dedication and smart buying and financing you can accomplish financial independence by investing in property.

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